01
Conditionally Accepted · American Economic Review: Insights
Trade policy · Real-time prices
Tariff
Tracker II
A high-frequency view of how the 2026 tariff cycle moves through prices, countries, and sectors.
Explore the signal ↓
Interface preview
By Alberto Cavallo and Franco VazquezInnovations in Economic Measurement Lab
The imported/domestic and major-origins charts use the latest published research exports. Sector values and the policy timeline remain demonstration data and are not research findings.
01 / Research papers
The research
behind the tracker.
The tracker extends two studies of how tariffs reach retail prices in the United States and Canada.
02
Forthcoming · Journal of Monetary Economics
The Price Impact of Canadian Retaliatory Tariffs
02 / Latest signal
Prices since the
tariff cycle began.
Imported/domestic data through—
Imported goods
—from index baseDomestic goods
—from index baseImport gap
—versus pre-tariff trendProducts observed
—prototype coverageDaily price indices
Imported and domestic goods
ImportedImported trendDomesticDomestic trend
Source: Cavallo & Vazquez · Download CSV
Latest observation
03 / Country lens
Where pressure is
most visible.
Compare daily price indices across major countries of origin using the latest published research export.
Daily price indices
Major origins
04 / Recent tariffs
Canada–U.S.
tariff tension.
A focused view of Canadian-origin goods on the recent tariff list, other Canadian goods, and the same product codes sourced from other countries.
Daily price indices
Canadian goods and comparison groups
Data through—
Index normalized to August 21, 2026 = 1 · Download CSV
Source: Cavallo & Vazquez
05 / Sector lens
One shock,
uneven transmission.
A paired view makes the imported–domestic difference visible without turning the analysis into a dense table.
Price change
Imported versus domestic
ImportedDomestic
06 / Methodology & data
Built to be updated,
audited, and reused.
Observe
Collect high-frequency product prices and match stable product identifiers over time.
Classify
Use product metadata and AI-assisted inference to identify origin, sector, and tariff exposure.
Measure
Construct transparent matched-model indices and compare them with pre-tariff trends.
Publish
Release versioned chart data and metadata alongside every update.