01
Forthcoming · American Economic Review: Insights
Trade policy · Real-time prices
Tariff
Tracker II
A high-frequency view of how the 2026 tariff cycle moves through prices, countries, and sectors.
Explore the signal ↓
Interface preview
By Alberto Cavallo and Franco VazquezInnovations in Economic Measurement Lab
The values on this page are demonstration data used to develop the interface. They are not research findings.
01 / Research papers
The research
behind the tracker.
The tracker extends two studies of how tariffs reach retail prices in the United States and Canada.
02
Forthcoming · Journal of Monetary Economics
The Price Impact of Canadian Retaliatory Tariffs
02 / Latest signal
Prices since the
tariff cycle began.
Demonstration data through—
Imported goods
—since Jan. 2026Domestic goods
—since Jan. 2026Import gap
—versus pre-tariff trendProducts observed
—prototype coverageDaily price indices
Imported and domestic goods
ImportedDomesticPre-tariff trend
Hover or tap the chart to inspect a date.
Latest observation
03 / Country lens
Where pressure is
most visible.
Compare price movements with the effective tariff exposure of major trading partners.
Change vs. trend
Major origins
04 / Sector lens
One shock,
uneven transmission.
A paired view makes the imported–domestic difference visible without turning the analysis into a dense table.
Price change
Imported versus domestic
ImportedDomestic
05 / Methodology & data
Built to be updated,
audited, and reused.
Observe
Collect high-frequency product prices and match stable product identifiers over time.
Classify
Use product metadata and AI-assisted inference to identify origin, sector, and tariff exposure.
Measure
Construct transparent matched-model indices and compare them with pre-tariff trends.
Publish
Release versioned chart data and metadata alongside every update.